🦄 The Casual 2024 Presidential Election
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Is Oprah still relevant, I really could care less what a multibillionaire who is far away up in the sky from the real-world thinks. She has no idea what cost of living is or the struggle working class deals with. Jeeves just brings her groceries into her 20K Wolf refrigerator like the Keebler elves. She has no concept of what is going on out there.
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I was always far more concerned about fuckery with vote counting (wholesale level) than ineligible voters/votes (retail level).
I think lots of people like her.
Personally, she had too many real weirdos in her orbit (dr Phil, dr oz) for me. But that’s a detail that lots of folks don’t seem to care about.
Three minute youtube just dropped with Walz, Scout, Scout, and a light tax cuts discussion.
In the New York Times, Alan Feuer writes about a new "Project 65," a group that is putting ads in the legal publications in swing states warning lawyers not to put their licenses to practice on the line by supporting fraud:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/19/...e_code=1.ME4._YMm.nob3zhjenfYj&smid=url-share
(gift link)
What a mess.
Just think; if the elections weren't rigged then all those 'bitter legal battles' wouldn't happen.
I guess it's good money for the lawyers.
Just think; if the elections weren't rigged then all those 'bitter legal battles' wouldn't happen.
I guess it's good money for the lawyers.
No question. Jews have the highest turnout rate of any ethnic group in the US, and overwhelmingly vote D (68% for Biden vs. 28% for Trump)
Also, an outsized % of the donations to the D Partly (in 2016, it was 50%, despite Jews only being 2-2.5% of the population).
Angering Jews could very well cost Harris the election.
So, you're asking questions about the validity of past elections? What are you insinuating exactly?
What’s that? Just eyeballing, looks could be Intel’s stock price (bouncing around $40 then doomed). Wrong thread maybe?
I should probably specify that the folks I was referring to weren't specifically Jewish people, or even possibly a majority of Jewish Democratic voters. Plenty of non-Jews simply see support for Israel as a moral imperative, and assume those who don't support Israel's actions are doing so for antisemitic reasons. Because why wouldn't you want to support Israel! Haven't these people historically suffered enough, and they are constantly under attack from all sides!
It's another failure to separate Jewish people as a whole from the actions of the IDF/Netanyahu, or the Palestinan people from Hamas. And it's not like you're going to get people to understand this distinction in time for the election no matter how hard you try.
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AmanoJyaku
Ars Praefectus
Fairly certain that's the stock price of Trump Media and Technology Group (e.g. Truth Social). It's been cratering.
AmanoJyaku
Ars Praefectus
Interesting economic and environmental news...
NBC - Led by the South, clean energy sector added more than 150,000 jobs last year
Not that this is going to change the opinions of those critical of Biden's handling of the economy, or green energy jobs, or government...
NBC - Led by the South, clean energy sector added more than 150,000 jobs last year
Not that this is going to change the opinions of those critical of Biden's handling of the economy, or green energy jobs, or government...
I can confirm that the IRA is having a huge impact on the clean energy industry.
Absolutely speaks to the middle of the road midwest and southern voter that can maybe, just maybe, begin to relate to someone more in line with their own lives than a silver-spoon self-professed billionaire.
His transitions from Car Talk to Politics talk are next level. So good.
No.
I'm continuing to call the presidential election rigged until the EC is abolished and 1 adult 1 vote is implemented.
Oh yeah. I agree. But that has nothing to do with these lawsuits, so it threw me.
But, I will note that in this cycle, the EC distribution may favor the Democrats. It’s within a fairly prominent set of possibilities for there to be close to a tie in the popular vote, but Harris wins the upper Midwest to win the EC.
But, I will note that in this cycle, the EC distribution may favor the Democrats. It’s within a fairly prominent set of possibilities for there to be close to a tie in the popular vote, but Harris wins the upper Midwest to win the EC.
Harris now has a net favorability rating
While Trump is 10 points unfavorable
This can matter a lot when it comes to turnout. If both candidate have equal support, the candidate with a higher favorability would likely have higher turnout.
While Trump is 10 points unfavorable
This can matter a lot when it comes to turnout. If both candidate have equal support, the candidate with a higher favorability would likely have higher turnout.
I gotta say, it really does my heart good to see Democrats putting salt of the earth politicians on their ticket. This is absolute gold and it’s long overdue.
It's currently, including Dem Voting Independents, 51-49. WV is a -1 for Dems with Manchin retiring. If everything else holds party, it's a 50-50 tie. That's a really tough line with close races in Montana and Ohio.
A Real surprise would Allred beating Ted Cruz in Texas or Debbie Mucarsel-Powell beating Tim Scott in Florida.
I really hope they could find some time to get Tim Walz to a Tester Rally in Montana. I think he could do well there with the "Mind your own damn business" campaign.
Barron has reportedly been largely responsible for his dad's social media campaigning. The reason Trump went on a right-wing podcast grifter tour to be interviewed by the likes of Adin Ross and Logan Paul is that Barron is a fan of theirs. And that's really all you need to know about him.
That right there says what’s essential about Trump’s decision making. It’s now a tight election—and would need people who know what they’re doing in critical positions. Like with Laura Loomer, he’s go no one but himself to blame for this.
Well, the Georgia Election Board is wasting no time tipping their hand. All ballots in the state must be counted by hand, all inconsistencies (such as between tabulators and hand-counts) must be resolved, and counties with large populations that can't complete this process by the certification deadline... this space left intentionally blank.
What that would mean in practical terms is that only counties with smaller populations have any chance of certification. Counties with larger populations will not be able to certify their vote totals. Hand counts, while not necessarily biased, are generally less accurate than machine tabulation, so the more ballots you count by hand, the more inconsistencies you're going to create.
This is pretty clearly unconstitutional, and Georgia's Attorney General advised them as much. However, there's a nonzero chance the Georgia Supreme Court could allow this, if only by waiting until after the election to declare it unconstitutional.
Yet another reason Harris needs to run the table. Winning by a single state may not be enough.
What that would mean in practical terms is that only counties with smaller populations have any chance of certification. Counties with larger populations will not be able to certify their vote totals. Hand counts, while not necessarily biased, are generally less accurate than machine tabulation, so the more ballots you count by hand, the more inconsistencies you're going to create.
This is pretty clearly unconstitutional, and Georgia's Attorney General advised them as much. However, there's a nonzero chance the Georgia Supreme Court could allow this, if only by waiting until after the election to declare it unconstitutional.
Yet another reason Harris needs to run the table. Winning by a single state may not be enough.
He’s a kid whose dad is Donald Trump, his two uncles are Donald Jr and Eric Trump, and his aunt’s husband is Jared Kushner. I wouldn’t be surprised if Putin was his proxy godfather. The kid had no chance without a good male role model in his life. I have no idea who Adin Ross is but if the worst Barron Trump can do is Logan Paul he might have a chance to get away from the toxicity of his family.
Was Adin Ross the chair sniffer or am I thinking of someone else?
This is where AI art tools come in handy especially because “Darth Tater” is such a good pun.
Done with Bing and DALL-E 3. Which unintentionally does give a Tim Walz vibe but in all the good ways.
“Vance, I am not your father but you clearly needed one growing up. Give me your hand.. ah ha ha ha… sorry Star Wars call back back… and let’s try to find kindness inside of you. You’re only an ‘e’ and an ‘i’ from being a Jedi!”
Because he blames everyone that didn't vote for him. He was talking to a Jewish audience at point. He'd have said that stupid shit to women, to Californians, to anyone who polls underwater for him. His ego is really fucking fragile.
He says racist and bigoted shit all the time that's hard to explain away. I just don't think this is one of those times.
She's probably around as relevant as Taylor Swift, for generally the same reasons, though probably for different demographics.
Maggie Haberman complains about criticisms of media coverage of Trump not from the usual Republican attacks on the "lame stream media" but from "the left."
She denies that the NY Times and other media have normalized Trump's divisive and often racist rhetoric.
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/19/g-s1...on-trump-the-media-and-the-turbulent-election
She denies that the NY Times and other media have normalized Trump's divisive and often racist rhetoric.
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/19/g-s1...on-trump-the-media-and-the-turbulent-election
So Olivia Nuzzi, the reporter covering RFK Jr.'s campaign for New York magazine, has been placed on leave after it was discovered that she was in a relationship with him.
And from the "every accusation is a confession department", in 2015 she tweeted:
And from the "every accusation is a confession department", in 2015 she tweeted:
Why indeed?
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