uh ok so here's the problem. For all this talk of drones and air combat etc. Right now, there are literally zero UCAV's that have even anything remotely close to the performance envelopes of a modern air superiority jet or even an F-16. The best currently available is a Global hawk with a performance ceiling of 60,000ft but it's speed is 357 mph (570 km/h, 310 kn). They're running basic turbofan jet engines like in a widebody...
The Specs are
Maximum speed: 391 mph (629 km/h, 340 kn)
Cruise speed: 357 mph (570 km/h, 310 kn)
Range: 14,200 mi (22,800 km, 12,300 nmi)
Endurance: 34+ hours
Service ceiling: 60,000 ft (18,000 m)
Lift-to-drag: 33
vs the F-15
Maximum speed: Mach 2.54 (1,650 mph, 2,655 km/h) at high altitude
Mach 1.2, 800 kn (921 mph; 1,482 km/h) at sea level
Combat range: 1,061 nmi (1,221 mi, 1,965 km) for interdiction mission
Ferry range: 3,000 nmi (3,500 mi, 5,600 km) with conformal fuel tanks and three external fuel tanks
Service ceiling: 65,000 ft (20,000 m)
g limits: +9
Rate of climb: 67,050[148] ft/min (340.6 m/s) (with 3 pylons)
Wing loading: 73.1 lb/sq ft (357 kg/m2)
Thrust/weight: 1.07 (1.26 with loaded weight and 50% internal fuel)
the F-16
Maximum speed: Mach 2.05, 1,176 kn (1,353 mph; 2,178 km/h) at 40,000 feet, clean
Mach 1.2, 800 kn (921 mph; 1,482 km/h) at sea level
Combat range: 295 nmi (339 mi, 546 km) on a hi-lo-hi mission with 4 × 1,000 lb (454 kg) bombs
Ferry range: 2,277 nmi (2,620 mi, 4,217 km) with drop tanks
Service ceiling: 58,000[328] ft (18,000 m)
g limits: +9.0
Roll rate: 324°/s[330]
Wing loading: 88.3 lb/sq ft (431 kg/m2)
Thrust/weight: 1.095 (1.24 with loaded weight & 50% internal fuel)
The F22
Maximum speed: Mach 2.25, 1,500 mph (2,414 km/h) at altitude
Mach 1.21, 800 knots (921 mph; 1,482 km/h) at sea level
Mach 1.82, 1,220 mph (1,963 km/h) supercruise at altitude
Range: 1,600 nmi (1,800 mi, 3,000 km) or more with 2 external fuel tanks
Combat range: 460 nmi (530 mi, 850 km) clean with 100 nmi (115 mi, 185 km) in supercruise
590 nmi (679 mi, 1,093 km) clean subsonic
Ferry range: 1,740 nmi (2,000 mi, 3,220 km)
Service ceiling: 65,000 ft (20,000 m)
g limits: +9.0/−3.0
Wing loading: 77.2 lb/sq ft (377 kg/m2)
Thrust/weight: 1.08 (1.25 with loaded weight and 50% internal fuel)
The F-35A
Maximum speed: Mach 1.6 at altitude
Range: 1,500 nmi (1,700 mi, 2,800 km)
Combat range: 669 nmi (770 mi, 1,239 km) on internal fuel
760 nmi (870 mi; 1,410 km) interdiction mission on internal fuel, for internal air to air configuration
Service ceiling: 50,000 ft (15,000 m)
g limits: +9.0
Wing loading: 107.7 lb/sq ft (526 kg/m2) at gross weight
Thrust/weight: 0.87 at gross weight (1.07 at loaded weight with 50% internal fuel)
The Chengdu J-20
Maximum speed: Mach 2.0[213]
Range: 5,500 km (3,400 mi, 3,000 nmi) with 2 external fuel tanks
Combat range: 2,000 km (1,200 mi, 1,100 nmi)
Service ceiling: 20,000 m (66,000 ft)
g limits: +9/-3
Rate of climb: 304[9] m/s (59,800 ft/min)
Wing loading: 340 kg/m2 (69 lb/sq ft)
The Su-57
Maximum speed: Mach 2 (2,135 km/h; 1,327 mph) at altitude
Mach 1.3 (1,400 km/h; 870 mph) supercruise at altitude
Range: 3,500 km (2,200 mi, 1,900 nmi) subsonic, 4,500 km from 2 outboard fuel tanks[253]
Supersonic range: 1,500 km (930 mi, 810 nmi)
Service ceiling: 20,000 m (66,000 ft)
g limits: +9.0
Wing loading: 371 kg/m2 (76 lb/sq ft) normal takeoff weight
Thrust/weight: 1.16 at normal takeoff weight (0.99 at loaded weight with full fuel)
The Su-35
Maximum speed: 2,400 km/h (1,500 mph, 1,300 kn) / M2.25 at altitude
1,400 km/h (870 mph; 760 kn) / M1.13 at sea level
Cruise speed: 1,170 km/h (730 mph, 630 kn) / M1.1+ supercruise at medium altitude[218]
Range: 3,600 km (2,200 mi, 1,900 nmi) at altitude
1,580 km (982 mi) at sea level
Combat range: 1,600 km (990 mi, 860 nmi) approx[219]
Ferry range: 4,500 km (2,800 mi, 2,400 nmi) with 2 external fuel tanks
Service ceiling: 18,000 m (59,000 ft)
g limits: +9
Rate of climb: 280 m/s (55,000 ft/min) +
Wing loading: 408 kg/m2 (84 lb/sq ft) With 50% fuel
500.8 kg/m2 (102.6 lb/sq ft) with full internal fuel
Thrust/weight: 1.13 with 50% fuel
0.92 with full internal fuel
The Shenyang J-11
Maximum speed: 2,400 km/h (1,500 mph, 1,300 kn) / M2.25 at altitude
1,400 km/h (870 mph; 760 kn) / M1.13 at sea level
Cruise speed: 1,170 km/h (730 mph, 630 kn) / M1.1+ supercruise at medium altitude[218]
Range: 3,600 km (2,200 mi, 1,900 nmi) at altitude
1,580 km (982 mi) at sea level
Combat range: 1,600 km (990 mi, 860 nmi) approx[219]
Ferry range: 4,500 km (2,800 mi, 2,400 nmi) with 2 external fuel tanks
Service ceiling: 18,000 m (59,000 ft)
g limits: +9
Rate of climb: 280 m/s (55,000 ft/min) +
Wing loading: 408 kg/m2 (84 lb/sq ft) With 50% fuel
500.8 kg/m2 (102.6 lb/sq ft) with full internal fuel
Thrust/weight: 1.13 with 50% fuel
0.92 with full internal fuel
All of them can conceivably reach out and touch the Global Hawk at it's Max alt and it's so slow it's not going to be dodging it, or evading it or using chaff or anything at all.
The most advanced of the publicly known currently armed UCAVs is the RQ-9 Reaper
Maximum speed: 300 mph (482 km/h, 260 kn)
Cruise speed: 194 mph (313 km/h, 169 kn)
Range: 1,200 mi (1,900 km, 1,000 nmi)
Endurance: 14 hours fully loaded
Service ceiling: 50,000 ft (15,420 m)
Operational altitude: 25,000 ft (7.5 km)
Every single jet fighter in existence outperforms a drone by an order of magnitude, couple the weapons loadout availability vs what can be strapped onto a drone and my point still stands. Until someone invents, builds, deploys and tests the EDI UCAV from the movie stealth, then drones will be absolute kill marker bait for IADS and enemy fighter pilots.
View: https://youtu.be/xCEzEVwOwS4?t=1009
But on both sides those sort of issues would prove to be temporary. Ukrainian air defences were able to re-site themselves, integrate, and also begin to evade jamming. Because as the Russian forces moved forward jamming, which is essentially a directional activity, became harder and harder among other things.
Again that's speculative at this stage, but there are people on the ground who claim that it's true. At the same time the Russians were able to sort out the original organisational chaos. They were able to get their batteries sorted out, their radar switched on, and eventually established something like an air defence network over much of the front line.
The result was a brief spike in aircraft losses, followed by everyone collectively deciding on both sides that the deck was where they wanted to operate. Mid and high altitude was now a no-go zone for anyone flying a jet or a helicopter. This was now the kind of high-threat environment where only advanced stealthy systems like F-35 are intended to operate, and even then at high risk.
And neither Russia nor Ukraine were on Lockheed Martin's authorised buyer list. Instead aircraft and helicopters would now operate at low altitude. Something which actually led to ... a sustained increase in casualties credited to short-range air defence systems, things like MANPADS.
Now if one looks at the statistics alone without any context, you can look at these and argue that MANPADS and short-range air defences are the solution to all problems. After all look at it, they're shooting down jets and helicopters galore. But those jets and helicopters wouldn't even be within range if it wasn't for the S-300s and the Buks forcing these aircraft and helicopters down to dangerously low altitude.
Make no mistake, every fighter pilot I've ever met is a self-confessed adrenaline junkie. But most of them don't want to fly 3 foot off the deck just for fun in a combat zone. They're more inclined towards safer activities like base jumping. They're after the risky, not the suicidal. So forcing them down this low was a credit to the air defence system. It was exactly the kind of interplay between different systems with different engagement altitudes and ranges that the Soviets and the Russians had always expected. The only problem from their perspective is it was cutting both ways.
and
But both loss statistics and Ukrainian commentary confirmed that after the early stages of the war, the quality of Russian air defences basically made using the TB2 in a strike role essentially impossible in most areas of the front. The thing was just too vulnerable. It could still be used of course, it was used in a surveillance and a distraction role, and a reconnaissance role. It was involved in the Moskva sinking for example. But unless paired with suppression of enemy air defences activity, like with the use of HARM missiles on the Kherson front, the TB2 wasn't able to operate with impunity in the same strike role that it enjoyed in those first few days on the Kyiv front. It was too slow and not quite stealthy enough to avoid destruction in a particularly high-threat environment.
So until
![EDI-Extreme-Deep-Invader-Stealth-robot-plane[1].jpg EDI-Extreme-Deep-Invader-Stealth-robot-plane[1].jpg](https://cdn.arstechnica.net/civis/data/attachments/8/8110-0207546c7bf3cbeaa2cd7cf71c4f1e97.jpg)
This EDI UCAV gets invented. The "drone" combat that's being envisioned is NOT going to happen.