Europe is looking for alternatives to US cloud providers

Dedale

Smack-Fu Master, in training
65
We're a nation of happy go lucky fools, who elect idiots and our only minor political party who has identified the US as a sovereign risk are our Green Party.

Pretty much the same here in Belgium. Our politicians are petty chieftains who have no taste for strategic matters. So they delegated all these questions to... the USA ! Our country is run like a glorified village. Out of discussions about pensions they are simply lost.

Our politicians are not -in general- evil, they are just dumb. They took three years to realize Russia was a danger and are slowly reacting. They are worried about the US but they will take time to realize they are enemies now. And again they won't know what to do.

But our intelligence services are faster. They restricted the info they shared with the US as soon as Tulsi Gabbard was confirmed. My contacts in the Belgian military want the government to drop the F-35 contract and buy rafale instead. Some wanted this as soon as the Vance speech in Munich. The others were convinced after the ambush of Zelensky at the White House. But they have no hope in our politicians.
 
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The US's nationalist extremism is going to get a lot worse before it ever gets any better. So ANY country not looking to be under the thumb of tyrannical, petty, spiteful bully like Trump should probably be looking for ways to cut all ties with the US as quickly as possible. Which should be relatively easy, given how little the US actually exports, and how easily US exports can be replaced with other sources (mostly China, but that's what happens when a country exports the entire foundation of a functional economy to another country in pursuit of cheap labor).
 
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clewis

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One unfortunate problem is that the US will still be a major arms exporter for some time. There simply is no one else with the history, scale and economics to do that. It took decades to put this system into play, it will take decades to unravel it.

Unfortunately, the NATO alliance had created the world's biggest, most effective armed force. Putin and Xi (and Modi to a lesser extent) are probably toasting Trump at every meal. Don't be surprised to see more glowing orbs, state military parades feting Trump and of course, Trump Hotels in every autocratic country.
Look how quickly the US tooled up during WW2. I bet Europe can tool up pretty quickly when the the US stops shipping. They've already started for Ukraine.

It doesn't hurt that Russia has proven that you don't need F-22s and F-35s. Or a navy.
 
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The internet is literally built on FOSS projects.

Apache? Open source. Ngnix? Open source. MySQL? Open source. Postgres? Open source. NoSQL databases? Message brokers? Routing software? BSD Unix and Linux? Even the very protocols on which the internet is built? Guess what, open source.

Though there is a case to be made that the likes of the big cloud providers have been abusing the goodwill of the FOSS community and even flat out breaking the law in the case of GPL-based software. But that's a different issue.
Right, but those are systems where every part is allowed operate on its own layer and do its own thing. Enterprises love highly-integrated things, and Microsoft is good at highly-integrated things, and FOSS is quite bad at highly integrated things.
 
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clewis

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True. Access and data privacy are different issues. If you're a European company worried about your U.S. based cloud provider turning off your services then you need a multi-cloud or E.U. fallback. In which case you have to hope that your senior engineers selected open-source (k8s) over proprietary (EKS).
It'd take me about a day to stand up a new k8s cluster, and migrate from EKS. Less if I'm allowed some downtime.

In the very early days of kubernetes (~1.5 to ~1.14), it was easy to bork the master nodes and break the cluster. So I wrote the process to make the cluster immutable, and k8s upgrades were done by standing up a new cluster and migrating traffic.

RDS -> PostgreSQL would take longer, just because the logical replication would take that long. S3 -> Ceph would be a project. Moving petabytes of data around takes a while, even at 100Gbps, and I probably wouldn't be able to get that speed inter-cloud. It would also be insanely expensive in terms of AWS accesses due to some ill-advised storage choices (It Seemed Like A Good Idea At The Time™).

It takes my team about 3 weeks to stand up a new legal region from scratch, when we're taking our time and triple checking everything.


That's assuming that I can still access the data to migrate it though. Multi-cloud disaster recovery is starting to look more interesting, but I don't think we're quite big enough for it to make financial sense yet.
 
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Sure. LDAP. At its core Active Directory is just an extended LDAP with custom schemas and a whole bunch of services like DNS, GPO, Kerberos, CA, etc... piled on top. All of those have FOSS alternatives and/or aren't really needed / used by everyone all the time.

You can "easily" create a replicated LDAP setup and throw Shiboleth in front of it for SSO / SAML / OAuth. Is it as easy as "click - click - done". No, but once you figure it out it also isn't that hard to maintain.

As for "at scale". Lol. FOSS is WAAAAAY easier to handle at scale than a Windows setup. OpenStack providers more or less work just like AWS / Azure do and for endpoint management there are plenty of solutions.
Come on man, what percentage of IT admins (let alone regular people) have to google what Shiboleth is before they can respond to the post? What certification can I get for Shiboleth administration? And what cloud provider is doing it turn-key for me?

And also, why are you comparing it to AD? We're now into AD-alike cloud services, no one's trying to spin up an AD server unless they have to.

Obviously it's stupid that we're at this point, but no one's adding that maintenance burden when they can pay Microsoft/Google/Zoho(?) to do it for them.
 
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Look how quickly the US tooled up during WW2. I bet Europe can tool up pretty quickly when the the US stops shipping. They've already started for Ukraine.

It doesn't hurt that Russia has proven that you don't need F-22s and F-35s. Or a navy.
And the US is going to hit a technological brick wall without the sole source of the EUV lithography machines that produce all of the worlds most advanced microprocessors. Machines that are made in the EU, by an EU country...that Trump and his cronies are pissing on and spitting at....

You know how they wanted to build fabs in the US? Kiss that goodbye.
 
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rhavenn

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Come on man, what percentage of IT admins (let alone regular people) have to google what Shiboleth is before they can respond to the post? What certification can I get for Shiboleth administration? And what cloud provider is doing it turn-key for me?

And also, why are you comparing it to AD? We're now into AD-alike cloud services, no one's trying to spin up an AD server unless they have to.

Obviously it's stupid that we're at this point, but no one's adding that maintenance burden when they can pay Microsoft/Google/Zoho(?) to do it for them.
Well, sure. They mentioned Microsoft directory services and FOSS which sort of implied a "OS" level / build your own level of things, but I guess re-reading it they were more talking about Cloud services. So, my bad.
 
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adamsc

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Fair point. But if we get to the point where the U.S. govt. is shutting down European businesses, then having a cloud provider in the EU isn't going to address the major problem.

It’s a fairly substantial difference because one of those scenarios is public and highly visible. If the NSA hacks OVH or a CIA black team visits Hetzner, it’s an international incident which will be heavily covered in the news for months. If someone calls Bezos and tells him that if he wants any of his businesses to continue being a federal supplier he has until tomorrow for AWS to exfiltrate customer data or studiously not see the NSA taking it, it won’t even be in the news.

Forcing these guys to keep their actions visible for public oversight is a win in its own right.
 
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zoltan_merc

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Unfortunately we designed our new carriers specifically around the F-35B.

We're screwed.
If you are talking about the Queen Elizabeth and Prince of Wales, you may be screwed in terms of crewed aircraft, but those expensive platforms should still be quite useful as drone carriers. Are you telling us that the nation that invented the holy trinity of early post-ww2 carrier technologies (the angled flight deck, the steam catapult, and the fresnel lens landing system) is now content to be out-innovated by such used-to-be-naval-backwater nations as Turkey? At least let them show you the way with

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TCG_Anadolu
 
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European privacy laws are worth studying carefully. There may be stronger protections, but there are no fewer provisions for surveillance or obligations on various classes of entity that collect, control, process, and otherwise handle data. They do things differently in ways that could be significant. Probably for the better overall, but potentially thorny for someone leaving the US. Just a heads up…

Edit: Seeing the downvotes, I wonder what I'm missing. Am I wrong?

Well, it seems you haven't read the article or the comments.

This is about European companies moving away from US providers.

The companies are already subject to European laws, regardless of where the data is hosted. There are no new applicable regulations for them to study.

If anything it makes compliance easier if the provider is also subject to and familiar with the same European laws, instead of trying to reconcile the European laws with lack of or even conflicting US laws.
 
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I've always thought to a certain extent that the US, while we have done amazing work in a lot of sectors, has kind of coasted since WW2 (and an extent WW1) from the advantage of being a country that wasn't basically burned to the ground during the wars. Europe/Asia passed us in many areas that are important for the day to day lives of average folk, but our wealth inequality makes the world think way better of us than we really are. It looks like we might finally be starting to reap what we sow thinking we're hot shit even when we don't deserve it.
As a child of the UK Sixties I grew up admiring the US. But for me the Falklands War was the turning point. Where was article 5 of NATO when the UK was actually attacked? The US sat on the fence. Special relationship? Bollocks.

And then I did some reading. And it turns out the US has always tried to screw us - the Suez crisis for example. Because we were a rival. Now a lap dog.

So no, not 'finally' at all. Turns out that countries don't have friends, only interests (quote as per both Lord Palmeston and Kissinger apparently).
 
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McTurkey

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Enabling a would-be tyrant out of self-interest is something other than a proud accomplishment.
Oh I agree. He's an oligarch who is behaving like an oligarch and his motivations ultimately don't really matter to the people who are being impoverished, kidnapped, abused, murdered, and otherwise threatened with such. I sure don't care if he had a gun to his head that forced him to do what he did. He failed to stand up for democracy when it mattered most, and now I live every day with the knowledge that my government could decide to act on their opinion that I, as a trans woman, have no right to exist.

I think it's useful to recognize the reason that people in a position to do something about a danger to the country are very frequently motivated to hedge their bets because they are so comfortable or privileged that they know failure to prevent the Bad Thing would cause them more personal harm than if they succeed. Or, more succinctly--wealth corrupts, and hyper-wealth corrupts absolutely.
 
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Hagen Stein

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From what others have told me, EU servers are much more expensive and legally problematic. EU servers can be 2 or 3 times more expensive for the same hardware, and EU laws can make it risky to host certain type of content.
Regardless where your servers are located: you have to follow national laws. And this is not limited to the EU.
 
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Hagen Stein

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While the US may be able to veto sales of Gripen with the Volvo built GE derived turbine, that's not the only engine option - the EJ200 Eurofighter engine is about the same length, lighter and smaller in diameter - and has already been part of an evaluation process for a potential Gripen variant.

I doubt it would exercise the minds of Saab engineers too much to reconfigure the airframe for EJ200 - and remove reliance on a US derived product.

[edit] While double checking the consideration of EJ200 for Gripen it seems that the US plans to veto sales of Gripen to Colombia and possibly Peru - based on its use of the General Electric F414-GE-39E engine. All the more reason to reconfigure for EJ200.... [/edit]

So, if the US can veto that, what about the European parts that the F-35 is built with? Can those countries than veto the export of the F-35?

https://simpleflying.com/how-many-international-parts-us-f-35-fighter-jet/
 
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Are you suggesting there won't ever be another Democratic administration?
Ever is a long time; but I would assert that there are strong grounds to worry that free and fair elections are over for the time being in the US. Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election and failed only because there were executive checks on him. He's making sure that doesn't happen this time.
 
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TylerH

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The alternative technolgy stack at the time was not mature enough, and the roadmaps were not clear enough, to attempt this jump.
There was nothing in 2013, technology-wise, that prevented some company in Europe from doing exactly what Amazon and Google and Microsoft were already doing then, in terms of building a cloud/datacenter service.
 
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deet

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Well, it seems you haven't read the article or the comments.

This is about European companies moving away from US providers.

The companies are already subject to European laws, regardless of where the data is hosted. There are no new applicable regulations for them to study.

If anything it makes compliance easier if the provider is also subject to and familiar with the same European laws, instead of trying to reconcile the European laws with lack of or even conflicting US laws.
Ah, I see. Yes, thank you. I could have included additional context that may have been helpful.

As a non-European inclined to join European organizations in seeking alternatives to US-based providers, indeed as one who has already moved critical services to Germany, I can offer that the process is naturally quite feasible but not necessarily legally straightforward vis-a-vis surveillance concerns and legal obligations. As Europeans no doubt well know, such things are given greater consideration in Europe than in the U.S.

Perhaps it would surprise readers not in the U.S. to learn that organizations here are also evaluating options for re-homing services elsewhere, for reasons similar to those addressed indeed in the article. It resonates with some here that the U.S. either is not now or will soon not be a favorable place to do business.
 
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The US has shown the world what it is really made of--we are collectively a bunch of hostile xenophobic assholes with a superiority complex. All while starting to gut our already-mediocre education system. Not that I'm happy about that, but the American masses have spoken and they want to go it alone. Anyone looking to come to the US for vacation or school, I'd look elsewhere. Stop buying American and stop using our products if you are wise.
Nah that's repubs.
 
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zoltan_merc

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As a child of the UK Sixties I grew up admiring the US. But for me the Falklands War was the turning point. Where was article 5 of NATO when the UK was actually attacked? The US sat on the fence. Special relationship? Bollocks.

And then I did some reading. And it turns out the US has always tried to screw us - the Suez crisis for example. Because we were a rival. Now a lap dog.

So no, not 'finally' at all. Turns out that countries don't have friends, only interests (quote as per both Lord Palmeston and Kissinger apparently).
NATO's article 5 was irrelevant for the attack of the Falklands. This is because it obliges member nations to come to each others' aid when attacked in the area covered by the treaty, which does not include the South Atlantic. And the US did not sit on the fence on that war. True, it started out by trying to smooth over the two sides' differences, but once it became clear that was not going to happen, it gave significant support to the UK, including new versions of the AIM-9 Sidewinder (the 9L version, if memory serves), which probably helped the Brits win against the Argentine air force.

As for the Suez crisis, only the people who were in Ike's inner circle know for sure what his motivations were for nixing the Anglo-French-Israeli plans for (re)taking the Suez canal, but for many outside observers, respect for the international order, including the values of the UN charter, are at least as good a possible motivation for Ike's actions as any possible dislike of his ww2 allies.

And yes, countries value their interests more than their friendships. This has been true long before Lord Palmerston. If you ever watch a documentary on the whole sequence of Greco-Persian wars with friends, and you play a drinking game where you take a shot every time a Greek city-state switches sides, make sure you have the local drunk-tank on speed-dial. And the only reason why you cannot do this with the wars between the cities of Sumer is that our records from that era are too sparse.
 
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MalEbenSo

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The US has shown the world what it is really made of--we are collectively a bunch of hostile xenophobic assholes with a superiority complex. All while starting to gut our already-mediocre education system. Not that I'm happy about that, but the American masses have spoken and they want to go it alone. Anyone looking to come to the US for vacation or school, I'd look elsewhere. Stop buying American and stop using our products if you are wise.
„collectively“ as in „won the election“.

I know many US Americans who don’t fit yor description.

One of if not the biggest concern I have, is, whether another election outcome in the future will be respected. Or will it mark the end of US democracy.
 
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I am starting to wonder if AMD needs to start looking to move its corporate HQ to the old ATI HQ in Markham, Ontario, Canada that AMD acquired when it bought ATI in 2006. Strategic reasons for this move could include the EU possibly prohibiting ASML from exporting EUV technology to US-based companies like Intel or prohibiting TSMC and Samsung from offering nodes that require ASML's EUV technology to US-based companies if US-EU relations get worse. ASML Holding is based in the Netherlands, and is the inventor and only supplier of EUV technology in the world. EUV is critical for manufacturing computer chips based on bleeding-edge nodes as can be seen in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_ultraviolet_lithography .

Other US-based chip designers probably might need to look to move their corporate HQs out of the USA as well.
 
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Matthew J.

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Well of course they are--it only makes sense. News would be if they weren't looking at their options for some reason.

And the tricky thing is, once you go through the hard work to decouple, you're highly unlikely to re-couple again, even if circumstances change back to the point where the original decoupling wouldn't be worth it anymore.

In other words, current events are doing irreparable damage. Business that is lost in the coming years probably isn't ever coming back to these U.S. firms.

Way to squander a moat, guys.
 
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Constructor

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Dane here. I wish we could do the same.

The US has betrayed us completely and I have no idea why. We supported every action, no matter how dumb taken by the US, we fought and died in wars started by the US just to be stabbed in the back.
To Trump that only means that you're suckers and losers (exactly like he sees american servicepeople) and ripe for another shakedown!

The concepts of good faith, trust or even gratitude are completely alien to him.
 
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dzid

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Probably because the rest of the world, the bits that rely on US services, have had a reality check in terms of how the US is prepared to flex its political muscles - and don't want to be held to ransom by the US denying access to (what have become, through lack of duplication as "the US companies had it covered and we are friendly with the US") essential services.

Same with comms satellites and positioning systems - many Western militaries rely on US systems because "the US has it covered" and interoperability is important - now reliance on those systems can be viewed as a weak point in the event that the US does not agree with a particular course of action.
Yep. The National Reconnaissance Office ("The National Reconnaissance Office makes the world a better, safer, stronger place and ensures America remains the undisputed leader in space").

Well, it was until relatively recently when DOGE inadvertently? deliberately exposed NRO budget details that U.S. adversaries most definitely used to calculate more closely the number of highly classified spy sats in operation, thus making the US less safe. But that's been a pattern since Trump 1.0, when he tweeted a satellite photo of an Iranian missile launch site, thus disclosing capabilities that had up to then been very closely guarded secrets.

Our allies? would have to consider such compromised, given all that has transpired.
 
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Constructor

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As a child of the UK Sixties I grew up admiring the US. But for me the Falklands War was the turning point. Where was article 5 of NATO when the UK was actually attacked?
Thatcher did not invoke it, so none of the NATO allies had any reason to respond to it. (And it looks like she couldn't have even had she wanted to – see above.)

And then I did some reading. And it turns out the US has always tried to screw us - the Suez crisis for example. Because we were a rival. Now a lap dog.
As far as I know about this it was the final rearguard action of the dying British Empire and the US had no interest in investing its own political and very real capital into preserving that. It would have been a lost cause anyway.

So no, not 'finally' at all. Turns out that countries don't have friends, only interests (quote as per both Lord Palmeston and Kissinger apparently).
Countries can build trust on pursuing common interests but that ends once one of them clarifies that shaking down absolutely everybody else like a two-bit mobster is their only attitude towards others!
 
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Constructor

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I am starting to wonder if AMD needs to start looking to move its corporate HQ to the old ATI HQ in Markham, Ontario, Canada that AMD acquired when it bought ATI in 2006. Strategic reasons for this move could include the EU possibly prohibiting ASML from exporting EUV technology to US-based companies like Intel or prohibiting TSMC and Samsung from offering nodes that require ASML's EUV technology to US-based companies if US-EU relations get worse. ASML Holding is based in the Netherlands, and is the inventor and only supplier of EUV technology in the world. EUV is critical for manufacturing computer chips based on bleeding-edge nodes as can be seen in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_ultraviolet_lithography .

Other US-based chip designers probably might need to look to move their corporate HQs out of the USA as well.
Even the massive deterioration we are seeing now is still very, very far removed from the European Union embargoing critical technologies from the USA!

Retaliatory tariffs are almost certain now as they had been enacted against the similarly stupid trade war started by GW Bush and Trump #1 already.

But the EU's primary interest now is to coax the USA back into the realm of rule of law at least eventually, even if major realignments and investments into Europe's independence are now being prioritized anyway.
 
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Constructor

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Republicans won the election and our reality is that they represent the US. I hate that with a passion but we will all now pay the price for it. Or not, if the rest of the world is too chickenshit to call the US out for being the playground bully (see also: Iraq bullshit invasion and "Freedom Fries")
That already caused a very real rift between the USA under GW Bush and most european countries who stridently opposed the made-up lies that invasion was based on:
https://www.dw.com/en/munich-conference-opens-with-sharp-differences-over-iraq/a-774512

This was absolutely not a case of a "chickenshit" response except for a few, most notably Tony Blair!
 
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Constructor

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Maybe that's why they despise you. You were submissive and fascists look down on submissive people. Well, everyone else does too.
Only clueless bullies know nothing else but domination or submission and have absolutely no concept of what earned trust is all about, and all the benefits that normally flow from that!
 
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Constructor

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The Tornado and Typhoon require several countries in concert to build.
And they weren't necessarily much slower to get there than the USA alone to the still problematic F-22 and the still limping F-35!

It is, of course, not impossible that could change. Germany could bring its entire fighter production in-house; but the costs of doing so are very high and result in a less powerful military (for a given budget, more must be spent per aircraft resulting in less aircraft (or other things))

If you prefer though, yes: we can add "a consortium of several European countries together build fighters". From a risk perspective, that seems more mixed than "buy from France". On the one hand, the odds of at least one country becoming a problem is higher, but on the other, it seems more possible to shift manufacturing from that country to the remainder of the consortium.
It is practically certain that the next european fighter program will be multinational again. Neither of the member nations could go it alone without major compromises and there would be no point in ignoring the massive advantages of pan-european supply chains and shared program engagement, funding and probably purchasing.

I'm not making any emotional appeal. I'm merely mentioning the fact that the US's actions will result in higher military spending by Europe, but likely a net loss in spending on US fighter jets, thus making the per-jet costs higher for the US.
Most likely, yes.

By the same token, it will likely raise costs and/or diminish capabilities of European air forces (per fighter at least).
Ditching the F-35 lemon may well be a net positive after all! 😜

Most of this is what Russia intended. Even the uptick in military spending in Europe has a silver lining for them as this cuts into economic spending and shifts power away from NATO as a whole.
It is Trump who is pulling away from NATO but the european allies remain very much motivated to keep strengthening NATO even and especially if the USA turns tail. Especially for the increasingly unhappily brexited UK NATO is a welcome structure to keep collaboration alive even while having no part in the European Union any longer.

(Brexit will almost certainly be reversed eventually, but it will likely take years before that long path back towards re-accession will even be opened, let alone completed.)
 
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And they weren't necessarily much slower to get there than the USA alone to the still problematic F-22 and the still limping F-35!
I never really commented on that. I had said that there were essentially three individual countries you could buy modern fighter jets from. The US, France, and Russia. China seems to have some complexities I don't understand so I'd take a correction there. Japan seems to build under license, etc.

Someone disputed that and raise the Typhoon. I responded that no single country builds that.

It is practically certain that the next european fighter program will be multinational again. Neither of the member nations could go it alone without major compromises and there would be no point in ignoring the massive advantages of pan-european supply chains and shared program engagement, funding and probably purchasing.
In that instance, he odds of at least one country becoming a problem is higher (than a single source country), but on the other, it seems more possible to shift manufacturing from that country to the remainder of the consortium.

It is Trump who is pulling away from NATO but the european allies remain very much motivated to keep strengthening NATO even and especially if the USA turns tail. Especially for the increasingly unhappily brexited UK NATO is a welcome structure to keep collaboration alive even while having no part in the European Union any longer.
That Trump, and the Heritige foundation, and Musk, and the US GOP, and anyone else are the people pulling the levers doesn't change that this is exactly what Russia hoped for through their years of influence peddling, election meddling, and information warfare. There's a reason they've spent so long in social media with targeted disinformation.

And yea, Brexit looks similar. The result of a lot of forces, but one being hostile powers looking to weaken Europe engaging in disinformation.
 
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Constructor

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I never really commented on that.
And I wasn't implying that you were, but the actual effort to conduct such development programs is a relevant aspect in this context!

In that instance, he odds of at least one country becoming a problem is higher (than a single source country), but on the other, it seems more possible to shift manufacturing from that country to the remainder of the consortium.
Such a thing is just very unlikely to happen to the extent that it would endanger the whole project. Especially the core countries with the biggest workshares would have too much riding on it including future spending going to their industries for development and production.

And the EU is far less dysfunctional than some people imagine it to be, squabbling about relatively minor issues (or currently Orban's Hungary) notwithstanding. Even across 27 sovereign member countries it is actually much less dysfunctional than US politics on their own!

And of course Putin and Trump do much to motivate unity and sober priorities as we can already see.

That Trump, and the Heritige foundation, and Musk, and the US GOP, and anyone else are the people pulling the levers doesn't change that this is exactly what Russia hoped for through their years of influence peddling, election meddling, and information warfare. There's a reason they've spent so long in social media with targeted disinformation.

And yea, Brexit looks similar. The result of a lot of forces, but one being hostile powers looking to weaken Europe engaging in disinformation.
Yes, the Brexit campaign has still not been investigated properly but there are suspicious indications that russian money was a major factor in its success.

But even so it has not worked out as Putin will have imagined: Brexit chagrin is increasing in the UK, the UK is again engaging constructively with the EU and the EU has actually been strengthened by Brexit instead of weakened.

More points in a very long list of tactical wins but strategic failures for Putin notably including his "3 days" campaign to overrun Ukraine which just happens to slog through its third year by now...

And that pattern of reaping unintended consequences obviously extends to Putin's minion Trump as well, with all of Trump's offensive foreign policies likely to do more damage to the USA than any benefits to show for them, including the dissolution of many business ties which had so far been based fundamentally on an essential basis of trust which Trump has now destroyed personally.
 
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