Consequences of the US 2024 Presidential Election: Global Geopolitics Edition

Nazgutek

Ars Scholae Palatinae
1,060
As if media is going to drive that number up by a even a million, eh? Blaming children are we?
Pretty sure Gary is implying that while those who voted for Trump are responsible to some degree for the current and future mess, there's also the other 88,000,000 million who didn't vote who might be considered also partially responsible for Trump's election win.
 

N4M8-

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Pretty sure Gary is implying that while those who voted for Trump are responsible to some degree for the current and future mess, there's also the other 88,000,000 million who didn't vote who might be considered also partially responsible for Trump's election win.
Pretty sure I mentioned non-voters:

According to Wikipedia, 77,302,580, but I feel you could probably up that a bit for those that didn't vote.

So who is Gary. Including beyond who I mentioned? Media? Bureau of Labor Statistics puts broadcast media at a population of 330,000.

I get the world is mad at Trump, but hyperbolic statements about blame don't help anyone.
 
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9600man

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12,524
Just had a thought:

These trade imbalances Trump and his administration is complaining about exists for a reason. But also, and here’s the thing: Americans are much to accustomed to buying things regularly which are imported from abroad.

In Canada for example people will boycott American goods, so the demand for American goods go down and whatever tariffs have to be paid will be lower because Canada wasn’t importing from the US as much as they were exporting. Exports will be hurt too but I’m speaking from a consumer stand point here.
In the US tho now that the whole world is being tariffed Americans can neither boycott or replace Canadian imports.
Overnight the massive trade imbalance means American consumers will have to be stuck paying through the nose for almost everything because they’ve been the largest consumer of imported goods.
Don’t get me wrong. I understand the knock on effect but it feels like everyone else can off set the difference to minimise the pain while American consumers will experience pain for longer because they can’t even in the short term substitute their regular purchases.

If Trump is playing Chicken he’s doing it with a Boeing 737 Max full of Americans against a balsa wood plane. While that 737 Max will crush the balsa wood plane the 737 Max needs a well trained and informed pilot to stay in the air… okay I lost the analogy. Trump is a dumb pilot; his administration is Boeing; Republicans is the 737 Max - inheritly flawed; Americans are the passengers. The balsa wood is the “trade imbalance” Trump thinks he’s up against.
 

Sylro

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If Trump is playing Chicken he’s doing it with a Boeing 737 Max full of Americans against a balsa wood plane. While that 737 Max will crush the balsa wood plane the 737 Max needs a well trained and informed pilot to stay in the air… okay I lost the analogy. Trump is a dumb pilot; his administration is Boeing; Republicans is the 737 Max - inheritly flawed; Americans are the passengers. The balsa wood is the “trade imbalance” Trump thinks he’s up against.

I think more that he is in an old Chevy Belair heading towards a fleet of modern Volvos.
while some of the crashes may hurt some of the Volvos occupant, nothing will be fatal. Meanwhile the occupants of the Chevy will come to great harm, then no doubt face medical bancrupty as a result of their injuries.

Some may even die.

But at least the US will be back in the 1950s.
 

Sunner

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4,519
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Brussels police arrest US State Secretary Rubio's bodyguard
Two sources with direct knowledge of the situation told the Washington Examiner that the agent in question was "behaving erratically" and "became irate" when hotel staff refused to reopen the bar beyond its normal hours, the US media reports.
That's some solid PR work on behalf of the US there. "They're not sending their best" or what was it?
 
Brussels police arrest US State Secretary Rubio's bodyguard

That's some solid PR work on behalf of the US there. "They're not sending their best" or what was it?
Can you imagine having to look at Marco Rubio's stupid, stupid face every single day from a distance of only a few feet? Having your livelihood tied not only into not pushing that sack of garbage in front of a train, but making sure no one else does? On a federal salary that Elon might nuke tomorrow? I, too, would be drinking myself insensate.
 

Tijger

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SnoopCatt

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United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the US was “running up the score” by putting tariffs on Australia, according to a report in The Age (paywalled, sorry).

Democrat Senator Mark Warner asked why the US would “hit” Australia when it was one of the country’s strongest allies and one of the few industrialised nations to which the US sells more than it buys.

“Australia has the lowest rate available under the new program,” Greer said, referring to a general 10 per cent tariff on all imports. “We’re addressing the $US1.2 trillion [trade] deficit, the largest in human history, that president Biden left us with. We should be running up the score on Australia.”

Thanks for the reminder that nations don't have friends, they just have interests.

ETA non-paywalled link from Sky News
 
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Gary Patterson

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As if media is going to drive that number up by an even a million, eh? Blaming children are we?
I include the people who failed to vote, and count media as many times the actual headcount. Same with politicians. Each of these people is far more impactful than a single voter - they influence thousands or millions.
 

Tijger

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United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the US was “running up the score” by putting tariffs on Australia, according to a report in The Age (paywalled, sorry).

Democrat Senator Mark Warner asked why the US would “hit” Australia when it was one of the country’s strongest allies and one of the few industrialised nations to which the US sells more than it buys.

“Australia has the lowest rate available under the new program,” Greer said, referring to a general 10 per cent tariff on all imports. “We’re addressing the $US1.2 trillion [trade] deficit, the largest in human history, that president Biden left us with. We should be running up the score on Australia.”

Thanks for the reminder that nations don't have friends, they just have interests.

So, I'm guessing the Australians will rethink buying more from the US than they sell now and score a few goals of their own?

Because, quite frankly, the remark is rather idiotic given what the response will be and that response will cost jobs in the US so who is losing what score?
 

N4M8-

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United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the US was “running up the score” by putting tariffs on Australia, according to a report in The Age (paywalled, sorry).

Democrat Senator Mark Warner asked why the US would “hit” Australia when it was one of the country’s strongest allies and one of the few industrialised nations to which the US sells more than it buys.

“Australia has the lowest rate available under the new program,” Greer said, referring to a general 10 per cent tariff on all imports. “We’re addressing the $US1.2 trillion [trade] deficit, the largest in human history, that president Biden left us with. We should be running up the score on Australia.”

Thanks for the reminder that nations don't have friends, they just have interests.

I would shortcut to, "Dictators, by dent of being dictators, do not have to be reasonable or engage in reason, and Trump idolizes dictators."
 

SnoopCatt

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So, I'm guessing the Australians will rethink buying more from the US than they sell now and score a few goals of their own?
Possibly. It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.

By category, the biggest sector is transport: cars, trucks and aircraft - there are plenty of options from Japan, South Korea and Europe here - and for the first two, consumer choice could make a big impact. As a cyclist, I'd love to see fewer giant-sized American pickup trucks on our roads.

But we also import a lot of specialised equipment such as machinery, medical imaging and other high tech stuff - I don't know what other countries are making, but I would expect that Japan and western Europe might have the capacity to fulfil many of our needs.
 

N4M8-

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But we also import a lot of specialised equipment such as machinery, medical imaging and other high tech stuff - I don't know what other countries are making, but I would expect that Japan and western Europe might have the capacity to fulfil many of our needs.
In medical imaging, Canon, Fujifilm, Siemens, and Philips are all top suppliers.
 

blindbear

Ars Tribunus Angusticlavius
8,118
Possibly. It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.

By category, the biggest sector is transport: cars, trucks and aircraft - there are plenty of options from Japan, South Korea and Europe here - and for the first two, consumer choice could make a big impact. As a cyclist, I'd love to see fewer giant-sized American pickup trucks on our roads.

But we also import a lot of specialised equipment such as machinery, medical imaging and other high tech stuff - I don't know what other countries are making, but I would expect that Japan and western Europe might have the capacity to fulfil many of our needs.

By the way, is Australia still try to buy USA's nuclear submarines?
 

Shavano

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Can you imagine having to look at Marco Rubio's stupid, stupid face every single day from a distance of only a few feet? Having your livelihood tied not only into not pushing that sack of garbage in front of a train, but making sure no one else does? On a federal salary that Elon might nuke tomorrow? I, too, would be drinking myself insensate.
from the article in question:
DSS is responsible for protecting American diplomats and embassies around the world. The report alleges that Rubio's DSS security detail is under severe strain, having been stretched "to a near-breaking point by senior leadership."
Your analysis checks out.
 

SnoopCatt

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1,109
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By the way, is Australia still try to buy USA's nuclear submarines?
Yes, as part of the AUKUS program, the deal is that Australia will pay the US to get some second-hand nuclear subs. Whether that deal survives in its current form is uncertain - a lot of people here are noticing that the current administration is no longer a reliable ally.

I wouldn't be at all surprised if there are back-channel talks going on with France to see whether they would still be interested. although it might be a tough negotiation after our previous Prime Minister shafted them so badly.
 

blindbear

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8,118
Yes, as part of the AUKUS program, the deal is that Australia will pay the US to get some second-hand nuclear subs. Whether that deal survives in its current form is uncertain - a lot of people here are noticing that the current administration is no longer a reliable ally.

I wouldn't be at all surprised if there are back-channel talks going on with France to see whether they would still be interested. although it might be a tough negotiation after our previous Prime Minister shafted them so badly.

I think they should just get gas-powered subs. Nuclear feels a bit overkill for what they need it from. Japan makes good subs.
 
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yd

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Their best? Its Rubio. A man with so little self respect he wears lifts for his self respect.
The 'best' starts at the top....and in this case, from the 2nd from top

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-chinese-peasants-remark-in-tariffs-interview

jd vance seems blissfully (edit UN) aware that he is married to a different ethnicity wife to be running his gob in such a manner - blink twice Usha, blink twice!

Calling the people that fund your largesse peasants, 4d chess?
 
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Bardon

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United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the US was “running up the score” by putting tariffs on Australia, according to a report in The Age (paywalled, sorry).

Democrat Senator Mark Warner asked why the US would “hit” Australia when it was one of the country’s strongest allies and one of the few industrialised nations to which the US sells more than it buys.

“Australia has the lowest rate available under the new program,” Greer said, referring to a general 10 per cent tariff on all imports. “We’re addressing the $US1.2 trillion [trade] deficit, the largest in human history, that president Biden left us with. We should be running up the score on Australia.”

Thanks for the reminder that nations don't have friends, they just have interests.

ETA non-paywalled link from Sky News
The stupid thing (among many stupid things, I know) is that they keep banging on that Australia doesn't allow them to sell US beef here. We've repeatedly confirmed that there is no ban on US beef, merely that all beef entering the country must meet biosecurity regulations and US beef as it's currently sold does not. Note that the media outside Australia don't seem to be sharing that info.
 

Gary Patterson

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I wouldn't be at all surprised if there are back-channel talks going on with France to see whether they would still be interested. although it might be a tough negotiation after our previous Prime Minister shafted them so badly.
Unlike the US, France is led by adults who deal with reality. Macron knows as well as anyone that the landscape has shifted both globally and in Australia’s politics. I think France would be willing to do a deal with us now, although their priority has to be EU defence and we’re at the end of the queue.

Still, the US will never deliver a single sub under AUKUS. They may have meant to once, but now I am certain their goal is to take the money and deliver absolutely nothing, with a side order of “And what are you going to do about it?”

(N4M8 - I hope I’ve added some value with this post. Now that you’re the thread quality police I want to check that I’m meeting your high standards)
 

Gary Patterson

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The stupid thing (among many stupid things, I know) is that they keep banging on that Australia doesn't allow them to sell US beef here. We've repeatedly confirmed that there is no ban on US beef, merely that all beef entering the country must meet biosecurity regulations and US beef as it's currently sold does not. Note that the media outside Australia don't seem to be sharing that info.
It’s the reverse of the story in the UK. Australian beef is low quality by EU standards but after Brexit the previous UK government was desperate for any trade deals and signed up to allow our beef to flood into the UK, undercutting their own producers. I’ve seen stories about our food production standards from the UK media that slam Australian quality.
 
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Happysin

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The 'best' starts at the top....and in this case, from the 2nd from top

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-chinese-peasants-remark-in-tariffs-interview

jd vance seems blissfully (edit UN) aware that he is married to a different ethnicity wife to be running his gob in such a manner - blink twice Usha, blink twice!

Calling the people that fund your largesse peasants, 4d chess?
I remain convinced that Usha is the power behind the throne, as it were. JD ostensibly used to be somewhat progressive. Usha, on the other hand, clerked for some of the most conservative justices around.
 

yd

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I remain convinced that Usha is the power behind the throne, as it were. JD ostensibly used to be somewhat progressive. Usha, on the other hand, clerked for some of the most conservative justices around.
Innnnteresting....like a reverse Handsmaid Tale! Dunno, don't really care, they are both despicable. Wouldn't leave jd alone in my living room given my high end Italian sofa.
 

9600man

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12,524
It’s the reverse of the story in the UK. Australian beef is low quality by EU standards but after Brexit the previous UK government was desperate for any trade deals and signed up to allow our beef to flood into the UK, undercutting their own producers. I’ve seen stories about our food production standards from the UK media that slam Australian quality.

Really? I thought Australian ‘wagyu’ beef was second to Japanese. I’m not a big ‘cook steak myself’ person even though I enjoy a good steak at a good restaurant.

What do they mean by production standards? How the cows are raised? Slaughtered? Packed for delivery? Each one is a solved problem. How’s the EU or the UK doing anything extra to be better than another first country’s beef production?
 
The stupid thing (among many stupid things, I know) is that they keep banging on that Australia doesn't allow them to sell US beef here. We've repeatedly confirmed that there is no ban on US beef, merely that all beef entering the country must meet biosecurity regulations and US beef as it's currently sold does not. Note that the media outside Australia don't seem to be sharing that info.
This brings up one enormous issue with the US expectations that is beyond tariffs, they also see regulations and VAT as "tariffs" and wants them gone when they negatively affects US interests. In the extension this means in the extreme tah no other country is allowed to have other views on environment, animal care or pollution, and finally on VAT.
 

Vlip

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This brings up one enormous issue with the US expectations that is beyond tariffs, they also see regulations and VAT as "tariffs" and wants them gone when they negatively affects US interests. In the extension this means in the extreme tah no other country is allowed to have other views on environment, animal care or pollution, and finally on VAT.
This, so much this.

If you actually take Trump and his administration at their word, the inevitable conclusion is that the only laws/regulations/taxes that are ok are those of the US. Any independent regulation/taxes are per definition "unfair and requiring tarifs".
It all boils down to this binary choice for every country on the planet (short of Russia and Belarus):
  • Become a colony of the US
  • Fight back
 

SnakePlisskenUK

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This brings up one enormous issue with the US expectations that is beyond tariffs, they also see regulations and VAT as "tariffs" and wants them gone when they negatively affects US interests. In the extension this means in the extreme tah no other country is allowed to have other views on environment, animal care or pollution, and finally on VAT.

One of the key aspects of Trump and his cronies and followers is that they don't understand the idea that other people have agency.