Not liking that margin given how unpopular Musk is supposed to be, though. I was really hoping for undeniable refutation to the tune of 15-20 points.
The margin, reflective of the candidates, is a blow out. Shimel has widespread name awareness, he won the State Wide Attorney General election in 2014, and he's got very wide-spread awareness amount the WOW area and Fox Valley voters. He's also, despite personally finding his policies abhorrent, far more likable than Dan Kelly was (previous Conservative WI Supreme Court candidate from 2023 election), and Shimel only improved on Kelly by like .7%. And the thing is, this election didn't feel like it had nearly the stakes of the previous WiSC election, despite being just as important.
Why do I mention Kelly? Because "likability" was the narrative among local GOP/Conservatives after Dan Kelly lost, not his overt Trumpism or his opposition to abortion rights or his anti-democratic messaging and endorsing of the overt gerrymandering here.
For liberals, that previous 2023 supreme court election was viewed as our "last chance" to repair the damage done by Scott Walker in 2010/2011, which was a big f'ing deal.
Musk didn't help, for certain, but once again the real lesson here is that the Democratic base in WI, that sits in Dane Co and Milwaukee, is the most cohesive bloc in the state. It's really a reversal of where things were 15 years ago.
The media is already insisting this was a repudiation of Musk, and not really reflective of Trump, but everyone I know who is part of the "base" voters for the Dems already hated Musk, but massive out-of-state money is nothing new for us. I expect wildly different lessons to be learned at the State vs. Federal levels, which isn't surprising. If anything, I expect even more hardening against Trump in the near term. Rural WI is going to get slammed by these tariffs. Madison will get hurt, as well, by virtue of the cuts to the University here, but if I were a congressional Republican representing WI right now (Derek Van Orden, for example) I'd be very very worried about keeping my seat in 2026, and that's assuming the congressional districts don't get messed with before that election.
The real issue is that the WI GOP/Conservatives have deeply unpopular positions for most Wisconsinites. If Trump isn't on the ticket, the. GOP does very poorly here. People aren't into the cruelty that is permeating GOP politics right now, and anyone who isn't full MAGA does not have patience for a deteriorating economy.
The real question is how much
new congressional push back will we see against the tariffs after last night? We'll see after today's "Liberation Day" announcement and how poorly it's received and how loud the "unnamed congressional sources" sector gets.