Isaacman: SLS and Orion are not a “long-term” solution for NASA

The "thing" that crew missions do is project soft geopolitical power by demonstrating exceptional technical capability. Robots don't do that, precisely because they are quicker and cheaper.
There is another thing. To change what was said in The Right Stuff “No Buck Rogers no bucks”. The human program is the PR that gets people interested in space so we have NASA and a space program. IMHO
 
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From the article;

”Cruz wanted Isaacman to commit to not just flying human missions to the Moon, but also to a sustained presence on the surface or in cislunar space.

In response, Isaacman said he would see that NASA returns humans to the Moon as quickly as possible, beating China in the process…

Cruz, however, wanted Isaacman to say NASA would establish a sustained presence at the Moon.”


** The space race in the 1960s between the US and the USSR led to the spending of large amounts of money so the US could put astronauts on the Moon.
— The current space race between China and the US will lead the US to again get astronauts back to the Moon.
— Since it is expected that the Chinese will have a “sustained (human) presence” on the Moon, the US will do the same.
 
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fl4Ksh

Ars Scholae Palatinae
1,325
The subject of this article is one, IMO. He got his money from founding Shift4. It's a payment processor. He provides equipment and software infrastructure for venues to let you buy too many beers and hotdogs. And then he takes a fee, like any middleman would for providing a managed service, which has been happening for thousands of years of human history. The reason Shift4 is so successful is its efficiency, resiliency, ease-of-use, etc. Is he supposed to give all the money away? Did California gold miners give away free nuggets when they struck it big?

And to the evil side of things... being nominated by Trump does not automatically make you evil (although I concede that's usually the case with most of the other nominations). Jared has raised 10's of millions for St. Jude with his Polaris program flights. He seems to actually care about the world.

My advice - don't automatically assume the worst from people until they give you a reason. The world is not often clearly black and white, more of a constant muddy grey.
IIRC, Jared's Polaris flights have raised a few hundred million dollars for St. Jude.
 
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He also has an aeronautics degree, has flown (as a pilot) more hours in all sorts of military jets than most professional astronauts, and underwent extensive training as part of his captaincy for two space missions. So, other than his specific career path, I don't really see how Isaacman's training and qualifications really differ all that much, in practice, from those of professional astronauts.

But yes, he's also built a couple of very lucrative businesses, too.
Fuck what he’s done. He’s part of biggest, most criminally self-dealing, massively-conflicted of interest Maladministration we have seen in generations.
 
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henryhbk

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At nearly a billion a launch the SLS is not a sustainable solution over the coming years and it's not reusable so we're throwing those rockets away every time. We can't spend 10% of NASAs annual budget on just one launch.

I would like to see NASAs budget trippled or quadrupled at least. Even then it would be 5% of the militaries annual budget. They ask why is taking so long, it's because you're giving them crumbs for funding.

we could of had a colony on the moon mining helium-3 for energy and conducting research 20 years ago if 10% of the Milltary budget went to NASA instead.
Ah yes the Helium 3, the fuel for the fusion reactor that someday might exist. Right now short of filling party balloons not a lot of use for He3... That's the problem with Mars and the Moon, they are extremely hostile places to go, with little commercial return and a huge logistical tail to keep those few souls alive. Yes, someday Starship will be all grown up and and can keep those folks alive (although right now we have no ability to build that habitat on either planet), am I excited about having a moonbase, absolutely, do I force any real use in it, no. OK there is some science we could do on the moon and if we want to land a robotic front loader and return like a tone of regolith/rocks for science, I'd vote for that. Spending tens of billions to keep 3 guys alive to look at that ton of rocks on the surface seems wasteful
 
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sleepyox

Wise, Aged Ars Veteran
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That seems like the simplest question though? He wants to do it because he wants to expand to the Moon and Mars. For the national glory of it. Just like we did during the Apollo program. ..
Yes, but is national glory really worth that much? It's petty, dumb, and stupid. Neil Armstrong didn't try to rename the moon the park of America. His quote was something entirely opposite from petty national tribalism.
 
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Roamer

Smack-Fu Master, in training
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“Why is it taking us so long, and why is it costing us so much to go to the Moon?”
The blatantly obvious answer is GREED and why do you even ask? Are you on stupid-pills?
Not on stupid pills, but you have to consider that he was talking to Republican controlled Senate.
 
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“Jared Isaacman dodged most of their questions and would not be pinned down”

Which is suspiciously like the other Felon45 appointees when they were before the senate committee. People going to Mars is a complete red herring, they could not survive. Since Felon45 is shutting down all scientific research, who will be able to address living on Mars?
 
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Fasteddie42

Smack-Fu Master, in training
13
Apollo and Skylab were great missions, showing the capabilities and limitations of humans in spaceflight. But at the end of Skylab, over 50 years ago, it was obvious that NASA Manned Spaceflight was a giant and capable bureaucracy in search of a mission to keep them funded. The Shuttle and ISS became the "payday" for this group. But what those horribly costly programs proved was that humans are very poorly suited to long endurance spaceflight and incredibly costly to maintain in space. Still.....NASA made one more grasp at "keeping the band together": Artemis/Orion/SLS. I asked this question some years ago:
 

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EngineerX

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At nearly a billion a launch the SLS is not a sustainable solution over the coming years and it's not reusable so we're throwing those rockets away every time. We can't spend 10% of NASAs annual budget on just one launch.

I would like to see NASAs budget trippled or quadrupled at least. Even then it would be 5% of the militaries annual budget. They ask why is taking so long, it's because you're giving them crumbs for funding.

we could of had a colony on the moon mining helium-3 for energy and conducting research 20 years ago if 10% of the Milltary budget went to NASA instead.
And, in 20 years we'll be able to turn that helium 3 into energy/s
 
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The NASA Administrator is an administrator - they need to run a very large organization and work with Congress and other executive agencies.
Having the skills to do those things is critical - being a pilot isn’t. It’s important to have a good understanding of the various NASA activities (not just human flight) but not important to do them yourself, just to be able to direct the people who do (or really, direct the people who direct the people who direct…).

A successful CEO has to oversee all of the activities of a business, production, R&D, sakes, marketing, support, finance and administration, and work with outsiders like customers, suppliers, bankers, etc.

The NASA administrator has to do a lot of similar activities managing an enormous organization. They also have to work with Congress and lobby it to do the right things. But that’s just part of the job. The last two administrators came from Congress and the Senate and had zero experience and had managing large organizations.

It’s clear that Issacman has a level of understanding and competence in some aspects of NASA’s activities, but not clear about the rest. And it’s not clear what his administrative skills are - he started 2 (relatively small, at least in terms of personnel) companies, but unknown how much administrative activity he performs or how hierarchical or distributed these companies are.

Shift4 has 4,000 employees, the Military Aggressor Squadron leasing business certainly has hundreds. He already has experience running far larger organizations than most NASA administrators have had when before they were appointed.

And he has no known experience or skills in dealing with Congress (unlike the administrators you are dismissing). So it’s really hard to say he’s “the best qualified in history”.

Again lobbying Congress, isn’t it a definable skill. Just because you’re a former congressman or senator doesn’t mean you’re necessarily gonna be good at it though it does provide you with a lot of phone numbers to call on your existing Rolodex.. but congress people always take calls from the NASA administrator.

Perhaps you could provide counter examples of NASA administrators who were more accomplished than Jared?
 
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BrangdonJ

Ars Praefectus
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Welp, the details of the meeting technically fall under the umbrella of internal deliberations, covered by "executive privilege". Maybe Isaacman felt it wasn't his prerogative to divulge any such details: that denying or confirming the participation of various additional people like Musk should be strictly the purview and at the discretion of the President...

But more likely, Isaacman was just coached to evade any such obvious digs at his motivations. After all, the whole line of Musk-related questioning was aimed solely at insinuating corrupt influence and/or corrupt intent - and responding to such an attack by saying "I'm not actually corrupt: trust me" just doesn't make for good optics, either.

edit: fixed naming brain fart - I'm not sure why I keep calling him "Isaacson" instead of Isaacman. I don't actually know any Isaacsons... 😅
An Isaacson wrote a biography of Musk that came out late 2023. It was much talked about. I get them confused too.
 
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alisonken1

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Fucking dickhead will not answer a very simple and direct question (he was asked repeatedly if musk was in the room when he was interviewing). Another shady billionaire. Fuck him.
Another dickhead that doesn't know politics. But feels qualified to comment on them.
Sounds familiar ...
 
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From the article;

”Cruz wanted Isaacman to commit to not just flying human missions to the Moon, but also to a sustained presence on the surface or in cislunar space.

In response, Isaacman said he would see that NASA returns humans to the Moon as quickly as possible, beating China in the process…

Cruz, however, wanted Isaacman to say NASA would establish a sustained presence at the Moon.”


** The space race in the 1960s between the US and the USSR led to the spending of large amounts of money so the US could put astronauts on the Moon.
— The current space race between China and the US will lead the US to again get astronauts back to the Moon.
— Since it is expected that the Chinese will have a “sustained (human) presence” on the Moon, the US will do the same.
There is no way that the SLS/Orion architecture can build or support a moonbase. Even if unmanned cargo vessels, such as Starship, BO's entry and others can deliver construction materials to the lunar surface, humans have to do the actual construction work. We are nowhere near having the capability to that using robotic equipment. So, since the only way we currently have to get astronauts from Earth to the Moon is SLS/Orion, which we can only do once per year, they will certainly not be able to build a base with such a slow pace. Assuming that I am being overly pessimistic, and they actually accomplish that miracle, we are still left with only being able to send a crew to the base once a year. They are not going to stay for a full year, so that means the base will be occupied for only a very short time. Until the US is able to launch cargo and crews more than once a year, the moonbase is a fantasy.
 
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Frodo Douchebaggins

Ars Legatus Legionis
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Another dickhead that doesn't know politics. But feels qualified to comment on them.
Sounds familiar ...

I'm not fit for politics because I have integrity and a spine, and I actually work for a living.

But what's cool is that at least for now, I'm allowed to express my opinion on the corrupt, the evil, and/or the unworthy gaining power.
 
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alisonken1

Ars Scholae Palatinae
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I'm not fit for politics because I have integrity and a spine, and I actually work for a living.

But what's cool is that at least for now, I'm allowed to express my opinion on the corrupt, the evil, and/or the unworthy gaining power.
The only opinions worth anything are the ones that are from people that know what they're talking about.

Otherwise you're just a couch quarterback that wonders why things are broken.


Hmm - sounds like a congresscritter to me.
 
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The only opinions worth anything are the ones that are from people that know what they're talking about.

Otherwise you're just a couch quarterback that wonders why things are broken.


Hmm - sounds like a congresscritter to me.
The only opinions that are listened to today are state-sanctioned ones, as determined by the Trump administration. Any others are, at the very least, decried as being "woke", or "threat to national security". The commander of the Space Force base in Greenland was fired yesterday because she had the temerity to disagree with Vance on his trip to Greenland. She was removed because she didn't toe the line, (and being a woman certainly didn't help).
 
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Frodo Douchebaggins

Ars Legatus Legionis
10,849
Subscriptor
The only opinions worth anything are the ones that are from people that know what they're talking about.

Otherwise you're just a couch quarterback that wonders why things are broken.


Hmm - sounds like a congresscritter to me.

lol ok. Lmk when the billionaires you defend on the internet give you your pony or whatever.
 
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waldo22

Ars Praetorian
567
Subscriptor++
Fucking dickhead will not answer a very simple and direct question (he was asked repeatedly if musk was in the room when he was interviewing). Another shady billionaire. Fuck him.
I gotta say I'm generally pretty happy with the choice of Isaacman, but I agree with you @Frodo Douchebaggins that this sort of non-answer is fucking infuriating.

If I were a senator, that would immediately be a no-vote from me, and I'd tell him as much.

Yes, it's a setup question, but it is a legitimate concern what influence Musk has over the possible future administrator of NASA.
 
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And, in 20 years we'll be able to turn that helium 3 into energy/s
Earths oceans are awash with Helium 3 available far cheaper, if it’s ever needed at all. It’s not the only fusion fuel, and true energy generation from fusion (in excess of all input/output losses) is decades away at best.
 
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View: https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTjeC2KQb/




Fucking dickhead will not answer a very simple and direct question (he was asked repeatedly if musk was in the room when he was interviewing). Another shady billionaire. Fuck him.


Who cares? The question was made in hopes of merely making a political point, and there is no way Jared should answer it.

How the Whitehouse makes its appointment interviews is not the Senates business. It would be like freely answering police questions when pulled over, you have the right to remain silent to any fishing expedition questions and should always exercise it.

In this case Jared has no obligation to help senators on fishing expeditions. And there’d be nothing wrong with Elon Musk being in that meeting by the way.

If SpaceX is advantage in any way by Isaacman‘s appointment, the evidence will be in the contracts they get. Currently, SpaceX has received no cost plus contracts except for tiny research efforts. By contrast every contract that’s Boeing has ever gotten outside of COTS has been cost plus.

So I’m ready to lose my shit when there’s actual evidence of favoritism. And that evidence will be very clear if they get cost plus contracts. But until then I’m happy that Jared is one of the best qualified administrator candidates in many years and that SpaceX has done almost all work for NASA on performance based contracts that even outside auditors agree have saved NASA billions.

And that SpaceX pricing is a tiny fraction of what Boeing, Lockheed-Martin and ULA contracts have cost NASA, so any move to use more of its launch services at the expense of the others is clearly in this nation’s best interest.
 
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