Ars OpenForum

MHStrawn said:

Edward Zitron has been pounding the drum in 20K word posts for a while now as well, basically saying AI:

has no viable consumer product
Is currently losing money on each user and loses more money for each new user added

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He is wrong. People are profiting on serving DeepSeek R1 as well as distilled models.

MHStrawn said:

Has largely run out of new data to scrape

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Which isn't true, but even if it were really doesn't matter, most of the progress these days is using synthetic data.

MHStrawn said:

Massively exponential increased costs do for each new generation do not notably improve quality of results

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There hasn't been 'massive exponential increased costs'. Indeed often the opposite, for the same given compute budget you get massively better results.

MHStrawn said:

Quality of results have never met a reasonable level and throwing more "compute" (as he calls it) only increases costs

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They are comparable to human experts at many tasks for a tiny percentage for inference cost, people complain about hallucination but often hallucination is lower than human experts on the same task (Ie MDs doing a differential diagnosis). Progress continues as we devise new benchmark test sets that aren't saturated.

MHStrawn said:

His lates missive...for someone who has 35 minutes to blow: https://www.wheresyoured.at/wheres-the-money/?ref=ed-zitrons-wheres-your-ed-at-newsletter

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